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Kautilya The Contemplator's avatar

I agree with Alexander Dugin’s central argument that global hegemons rarely surrender power peacefully and history shows transition almost always involves war. What we are seeing now, the Ukraine conflict, wars in the Middle East, tensions in Asia, is really about the violent unraveling of unipolarity and less about multipolarity having completely replaced the current order.

One additional point is that the West’s (particularly the US) decline is not linear but uneven. It still retains enormous coercive power in finance, technology and military reach, which explains why it can still engineer outcomes in places like Moldova or the Caucasus. Yet, each exercise of that power accelerates the fragmentation of the system, driving Russia, China, India, and others to harden alternative structures like BRICS, SCO, and new payment systems. The paradox is that Western “victories” now often sow the seeds of longer-term defeat.

This is why I share Dugin’s view the struggle is entering a decisive stage. Whether or not it escalates to full-scale global war depends less on multipolar powers than on how far a declining unipolar order is willing to gamble to preserve itself.

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John Bodman's avatar

Unfortunately you are right.

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Observateur's avatar

The fact that history does not show a peaceful transition of hegemony does not mean that in the future we'll have war. The main reason is that everybody is aware that this would be the last war on this planet. It would wipe out everything that we have achieved in the last 4–5000 years. We'll have local skirmishes following provocations such as in Ukraine, Palestine, Africa, perhaps Taiwan in the near future. Those powers that can live with the ensuing economic difficulties will prevail. The main losers will be the EU countries: no material resources, expensive energies and valuable human resources on the move to other, more attractive, economies. North America (US + Canada) will assume leadership of the anglophone world, loose economic clout, and settle for an unfriendly coexistence with the rest. Her main allies located in the EU will present no interest to the US dollars since they will be poor. The US will squash the last drop of juice out of them. Russia and the other BRICS will prosper and become the main area of growth and development. They will be peaceful giants, with capabilities imposing respect and providing them with security.

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Joanna Martin's avatar

In reply to Observatur:

Friend, I wish that your predictions come true - if people were rational & had good hearts, they would come true. But I respectfully suggest that you underestimate the malice of our enemy. There are those whose hatred is so intense that they would rather destroy the planet than lose power. In C.S. Lewis' novel, "The Magician's Nephew" (in the Narnia series), Queen Jardis destroyed her world because she lost the civil war.

I do believe that demonic forces control the globalist elite (as described in C.S. Lewis' novel, "That Hideous Strength").

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Evangelos Aragiannis's avatar

We hear about the fight between multipolarity and unipolarity. I am starting to think this is all a facade. We are at a point where the West is fighting with it self. And who stands supreme over this? China, Russia, India etc. Is this the state we are supposed to dwell at? Us in the "West" at a constant state of in-fighting and the Rest just rulling over us? I don't think there is going to be civil wars in the West. Just a state of being structurally sick, unable anymore to react to Eurasia's wills on the global stage. In that sense, Eurasia's objectives have already been achieved. And that's a good thing, imo.

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Eric Engle's avatar

Stil shilling for Putin even though he maybe killed your daughter — to send you a warning?

Putin’s efforts to spark wars in Ecuador, Venezuela, Burma, failed, and his lame attempts at warring in Yemen and Palestina are also failing.

Personally I would flip the script become a Maoist, work for China. Or defect like Solzhenitsyn declaring yourself a pacifist.

Or, wait around till you wind up like Dugina. at least you would be reunited!

You sowed the wind, and reaped the whirlwind.

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siobhan's avatar

I fear this inevitability as well. like most wars it is avoidable and there is no reason for it. Our western leaders are , for lack of a better word, stupid! I have no understanding of their Russiaphobia. As an American I see Russia as a natural ally. Our leaders only see power and $$$. The people don't want war. Only those who don't have to wear the uniform do.💞I pray for peace every day

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Ngungu's avatar

Your comment makes sense, but IMO that is NOT what Eric Engle refers to.

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Xiaoguang Yin's avatar

It is truly a sad thing that mankind ultimately failed to avoid the catastrophe of a Third World War.

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Nate Sherwood's avatar

The problem that the West has is that who at this point wants to fight for it? Britain, France, even America are spiritually and financially broken. They all also have internal political divides which are so deep that they are irreconcilable.

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José S Mendez's avatar

We are already at world war. I hope that russia stops be so kind and uses everything to destroy north america and europe. Save the planet for Humans.

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SJT's avatar

PS Watch many governments bring in mandatory conscription of the younger members of society ... all part of fear social split / violence and depopulation agenda... to bring in their totalitarian NWO bllx.

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Joseph A Gorski's avatar

The British have been at odds with Russia since about 1850. Even though they lost their empire long ago they still want Russia broken up. Like the Zionists, they use the economic and military power of the USA to push the world around. They will not quietly accept a multi polar world. Yes, unfortunately there will probably be more bloodshed.

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The Wrong Trousers's avatar

A truly great man Mr D

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Cy Rider's avatar

Dugin changed his mind - when Trump won the presidency Dugin announced with fanfare that Trump was all about peace, that Trump and Putin would get along very well and that Trump was in favor of a multipolar world - Dugin turned out to be wrong - now Dugin announces war, which he is also wrong about because there will be no war - Russia won in Ukraine - the peace agreement signed on August 15 was to disguise the worst defeat in US history - that is, Dugin has no perception of the real world, understandably so because he lives in another world and changes his mind depending on the day's news in the New York Times -

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Andrew Harrison's avatar

I think we are in the war, it's just not like the previous global ones, the kinetic part being geographically limited so far. It does look likely to escalate though and the whole thing is regrettable in the extreme.

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Dr Von Hagen's avatar

We know how this ends we’ve seen it before it’s so obvious

Who shifted millions upon millions of financial capital to China, the Russians or the Americas?

Why?

So the Chinese can betray Russia at its most critical of hr and seize all of the far east!

They got the Russians by the nose but the real threat is when they kick you in the ass

I hate to see it but that’s the game folks!

And when the Chinese are confiscating the far east western politicians will be cheering it on 🤬

That’s the game

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Marcel van Silfhout's avatar

I hate to say It, but I all Agree

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Maristella Tonello's avatar

La guerra mondiale è alle porte, la buona volontà di fermare l'escalation non esiste dalla parte occidentale perché la fame di potere è più forte di ogni saggio ragionamento sugli accordi di pace

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