Alexander Dugin warns that the new multipolar world order is not set in stone and is unlikely to be peacefully accepted, but rather is bound to be shaped through escalated conflict, recalling how historic shifts are decided through the unpredictable unfolding of war.
I agree with Alexander Dugin’s central argument that global hegemons rarely surrender power peacefully and history shows transition almost always involves war. What we are seeing now, the Ukraine conflict, wars in the Middle East, tensions in Asia, is really about the violent unraveling of unipolarity and less about multipolarity having completely replaced the current order.
One additional point is that the West’s (particularly the US) decline is not linear but uneven. It still retains enormous coercive power in finance, technology and military reach, which explains why it can still engineer outcomes in places like Moldova or the Caucasus. Yet, each exercise of that power accelerates the fragmentation of the system, driving Russia, China, India, and others to harden alternative structures like BRICS, SCO, and new payment systems. The paradox is that Western “victories” now often sow the seeds of longer-term defeat.
This is why I share Dugin’s view the struggle is entering a decisive stage. Whether or not it escalates to full-scale global war depends less on multipolar powers than on how far a declining unipolar order is willing to gamble to preserve itself.
The fact that history does not show a peaceful transition of hegemony does not mean that in the future we'll have war. The main reason is that everybody is aware that this would be the last war on this planet. It would wipe out everything that we have achieved in the last 4–5000 years. We'll have local skirmishes following provocations such as in Ukraine, Palestine, Africa, perhaps Taiwan in the near future. Those powers that can live with the ensuing economic difficulties will prevail. The main losers will be the EU countries: no material resources, expensive energies and valuable human resources on the move to other, more attractive, economies. North America (US + Canada) will assume leadership of the anglophone world, loose economic clout, and settle for an unfriendly coexistence with the rest. Her main allies located in the EU will present no interest to the US dollars since they will be poor. The US will squash the last drop of juice out of them. Russia and the other BRICS will prosper and become the main area of growth and development. They will be peaceful giants, with capabilities imposing respect and providing them with security.
We hear about the fight between multipolarity and unipolarity. I am starting to think this is all a facade. We are at a point where the West is fighting with it self. And who stands supreme over this? China, Russia, India etc. Is this the state we are supposed to dwell at? Us in the "West" at a constant state of in-fighting and the Rest just rulling over us? I don't think there is going to be civil wars in the West. Just a state of being structurally sick, unable anymore to react to Eurasia's wills on the global stage. In that sense, Eurasia's objectives have already been achieved. And that's a good thing, imo.
I fear this inevitability as well. like most wars it is avoidable and there is no reason for it. Our western leaders are , for lack of a better word, stupid! I have no understanding of their Russiaphobia. As an American I see Russia as a natural ally. Our leaders only see power and $$$. The people don't want war. Only those who don't have to wear the uniform do.💞I pray for peace every day
I agree with Alexander Dugin’s central argument that global hegemons rarely surrender power peacefully and history shows transition almost always involves war. What we are seeing now, the Ukraine conflict, wars in the Middle East, tensions in Asia, is really about the violent unraveling of unipolarity and less about multipolarity having completely replaced the current order.
One additional point is that the West’s (particularly the US) decline is not linear but uneven. It still retains enormous coercive power in finance, technology and military reach, which explains why it can still engineer outcomes in places like Moldova or the Caucasus. Yet, each exercise of that power accelerates the fragmentation of the system, driving Russia, China, India, and others to harden alternative structures like BRICS, SCO, and new payment systems. The paradox is that Western “victories” now often sow the seeds of longer-term defeat.
This is why I share Dugin’s view the struggle is entering a decisive stage. Whether or not it escalates to full-scale global war depends less on multipolar powers than on how far a declining unipolar order is willing to gamble to preserve itself.
The fact that history does not show a peaceful transition of hegemony does not mean that in the future we'll have war. The main reason is that everybody is aware that this would be the last war on this planet. It would wipe out everything that we have achieved in the last 4–5000 years. We'll have local skirmishes following provocations such as in Ukraine, Palestine, Africa, perhaps Taiwan in the near future. Those powers that can live with the ensuing economic difficulties will prevail. The main losers will be the EU countries: no material resources, expensive energies and valuable human resources on the move to other, more attractive, economies. North America (US + Canada) will assume leadership of the anglophone world, loose economic clout, and settle for an unfriendly coexistence with the rest. Her main allies located in the EU will present no interest to the US dollars since they will be poor. The US will squash the last drop of juice out of them. Russia and the other BRICS will prosper and become the main area of growth and development. They will be peaceful giants, with capabilities imposing respect and providing them with security.
We hear about the fight between multipolarity and unipolarity. I am starting to think this is all a facade. We are at a point where the West is fighting with it self. And who stands supreme over this? China, Russia, India etc. Is this the state we are supposed to dwell at? Us in the "West" at a constant state of in-fighting and the Rest just rulling over us? I don't think there is going to be civil wars in the West. Just a state of being structurally sick, unable anymore to react to Eurasia's wills on the global stage. In that sense, Eurasia's objectives have already been achieved. And that's a good thing, imo.
Stil shilling for Putin even though he maybe killed your daughter — to send you a warning?
Putin’s efforts to spark wars in Ecuador, Venezuela, Burma, failed, and his lame attempts at warring in Yemen and Palestina are also failing.
Personally I would flip the script become a Maoist, work for China. Or defect like Solzhenitsyn declaring yourself a pacifist.
Or, wait around till you wind up like Dugina. at least you would be reunited!
You sowed the wind, and reaped the whirlwind.
I fear this inevitability as well. like most wars it is avoidable and there is no reason for it. Our western leaders are , for lack of a better word, stupid! I have no understanding of their Russiaphobia. As an American I see Russia as a natural ally. Our leaders only see power and $$$. The people don't want war. Only those who don't have to wear the uniform do.💞I pray for peace every day