The hard truth. “Democracy” is an illusion. Our constitutional republic has died and few seem to notice. Their faith in our institutions remains in spite of all the evidence of betrayal.
The outcome of the 2024 elections will be seen as the tipping point where it became obvious that there is no 'united' in 'United States of America' in a way that will hard to deny for Trump's 'base': the only people who think that 'unity' is an intrinsic good even if it means unifying with your enemies. Biden supporters have a clearer view of things and view Trumps supporters as enemies to be subjugated under full-spectrum economic, cultural and political dominance.
All of this was foreseen by John C. Calhoun in his 'Disquisition on Government' written in the 1840s. It describes the virtual template for the kind of colonization of the federal Leviathan by a 'faction' that then uses the entire federal system to reward its friends and punish its enemies.
I encourage you to think about whether 'globalists' have any real interest in 'nuclear war'. However, there is an international economic elite that has an interest in creating situations in which certain people murder each other on a mass scale while certain other people sell them the means to murder each other. War is a racket.
I doubt that in a multipolar world that either the US, China, or Russia will be major players, more likely Argentina, France, and Australia. The US is in a feedback death spiral with its debt, which suggests to me a Soviet Union-like collapse, China has contaminated its agricultural soil to the extent that it imports 80% of its food, 85% of its fossil fuels - although this may change (see below), and faces a similar debt death spiral as the US due to real estate investments gone sour, collapse of banks and major investment firms - and gross official corruption. As for Russia, look at this map of Ukraine - https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-20-2024 and read the first three paragraphs, too.
Russia controls scarcely more territory there than it did in 2014, its current offensive has culminated - and failed, yet another failed offensive. Ukraine, using military surplus and end-of-life materiel from the US and other NATO countries, has stopped Russia cold for over two years. Its drone campaign has hit Russian energy infrastructure hard, the latest being at Rostov-on-Don and Krasnodar Krai - and there have been effective strikes in as far away as Tatarstan. Voronezh, Moscow, and St Petersburg targets have been hit as well. Given the lack of effectiveness of Russia's campaign, it is obviously not "far more militarily capable than Ukraine", and this war is draining Russian finance, leading it into perilous "debt trap diplomacy" with China...
And the greatest national sovereignty threat to Russia comes not from NATO - with which the recent accession of Finland - it shares a border of thousands of kilometers - and most of these NATO states have access to nuclear weapons within short striking distance of Russian C3I structures - but with China. There is a natural gas pipeline going from Russia's Far East - which is where the oil and gas upon which Russia depends to keep its largely extractive economy going are - to China, and lately China, which imports about 85% of its fossil fuel energy, has been balking at the price Russia is charging. If Russia continues to decimate its military in Ukraine (now it's having to import artillery shells and guns, as well as missiles, from North Korea, as China has declined to give this kind of aid) it will be vulnerable to a Chinese invasion coming across the Amur River (just as it did in the 1970s) to take control of those resources - and China has already redrawn its maps to include those areas ceded to the Russian Empire in 1860 as its own, which presages such an invasion. Russia has severe manpower shortages, it is likely that another national mobilization will fail as badly as the first, which only got half as many troops as planned (if not worse), and the Russian plans to import 200,000 Kenyans would be a predictable disaster. Besides which, without the oil and gas money, Russia will be without assets to support an army. Right now, they've had to sharply increase their income tax take on incomes over 2250 USD per month - and if they go lower, to the working classes who get an average of 700 USD per month there will be resistance ("you pretend to pay us, and we will pretend to work.") Putin has more on his plate than he's letting on about. And Ukraine appears to be doing just fine, with or without the illusory security guarantees from the West - the guarantees made in the Budapest Memorandum have for the most part failed, which is a teaching moment for other countries to whom the US et al offer "security guarantees" in exchange for, say, nuclear non-proliferation. If Moscow continues to raise the taxes on the outlying republics while offering little or nothing in return, that won't last either - and having decimated the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine in what has turned out to be a pointless war (but with the sly encouragement by the Chinese, biding their time...) Russia won't have the ability to project the force which will be needed to avoid another Soviet Union-style collapse - and today's Russian Army isn't the Red Army of the Soviets, not by any means.
So that multipolar world may indeed come, but most probably won't involve any of the present list of major powers.
The world will be fine, I can tell you that in the Australian bushlands, far from cities, there is nothing happening out here. Literally, nothing. There hardly any people and thank god for that.
You do know how large Australia is and how few people live outside of the major cities right? It's 3.45 people per square km for the entire continent, in rural areas it's probably less than 1 person per square km.
So strange : I think that foreign affairs will determine the fate of the over extended American Empire in which Mr. Putin is in far more control.
Trump is not that different from Biden. Trump failed 2016-2020 for just that reason.
A truly aware political leader would have resorted to other means a long time ago but Trump is still playing Game Show Host and basking in the limelight as though no one will ever pull the plug.
The one difference is that Trump likes to win above all things and has an ego big as all outdoors and the heavenly planets despite being not all that heavenly himself.
He's more apt to see a "deal" realistically like Putin and Ji Xin Ping see it.
Not as apt: he's still wallowiing in Point du Hoc and 1944 than 2024.
But he's also more apt to plead "I had no choice" than Biden who doesn't want to think that hard.
Trump also has no staff like Lavrov, Peskov or Zakharova.
I agree, but I still think stakes are made arbitrarily high to create pressure to build… it will swing back to something else immediately after. He will not change enough and people will rely on it too much until it’s too late. The next trump term needs to be a time of rerooting to oppose what comes after, not building “freedom cities”.
Likely a troll comment, but this is pretty hilarious, you are apparently not acquainted with Dugin’s works, talks, or philosophy. I’m not a Dugin apologist, but he does know more about US politics and bureaucracy than most Mericans.
The only part where Dugin leaves me cold is where he says neocons are long game Trotskyites. Is this a synonym for anti Russians or does he believe that the Russian diaspora parents and grandparents of the neocons are/were actual Trotskyites, as opposed Tzarists, monarchists, liberals etc?
“Ten years of Trump says the way to bet is that he picks the worst possible option as his running mate, which would be someone like Glenn Youngkin. He is a less masculine version of Liz Cheney.” - Z Man
Trump getting elected will only matter if he is able to clean out enough of the internal rot. While I will vote for him I am not holding my breath.
He won’t. It’s a time to use to reroot and pull people out of the system.
Yeah, France is on its 5th Republic: Germany its second.
Time for us to end the First.
I think on Gore Vidal's count it will be more like the 4th or 5th. Washington, Jackson, Lincoln. I don't recall if he listed FDR as the 4th.
Publishing Dugin for a U.S. audience is fantastic gift, thanks.
The hard truth. “Democracy” is an illusion. Our constitutional republic has died and few seem to notice. Their faith in our institutions remains in spite of all the evidence of betrayal.
The outcome of the 2024 elections will be seen as the tipping point where it became obvious that there is no 'united' in 'United States of America' in a way that will hard to deny for Trump's 'base': the only people who think that 'unity' is an intrinsic good even if it means unifying with your enemies. Biden supporters have a clearer view of things and view Trumps supporters as enemies to be subjugated under full-spectrum economic, cultural and political dominance.
All of this was foreseen by John C. Calhoun in his 'Disquisition on Government' written in the 1840s. It describes the virtual template for the kind of colonization of the federal Leviathan by a 'faction' that then uses the entire federal system to reward its friends and punish its enemies.
As terrible as that is I agree with your take. I view biden supporters as globalists intent on
Inciting war and most assured it will result in nuclear war, they
must be stopped by any means necessary.
I will take up arms.
I encourage you to think about whether 'globalists' have any real interest in 'nuclear war'. However, there is an international economic elite that has an interest in creating situations in which certain people murder each other on a mass scale while certain other people sell them the means to murder each other. War is a racket.
As terrible as that is I agree with your take. I view biden supporters as globalists intent on
Inciting war and most assured it will result in nuclear war they
must be stopped by any means necessary.
I will take up arms.
I doubt that in a multipolar world that either the US, China, or Russia will be major players, more likely Argentina, France, and Australia. The US is in a feedback death spiral with its debt, which suggests to me a Soviet Union-like collapse, China has contaminated its agricultural soil to the extent that it imports 80% of its food, 85% of its fossil fuels - although this may change (see below), and faces a similar debt death spiral as the US due to real estate investments gone sour, collapse of banks and major investment firms - and gross official corruption. As for Russia, look at this map of Ukraine - https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-20-2024 and read the first three paragraphs, too.
Russia controls scarcely more territory there than it did in 2014, its current offensive has culminated - and failed, yet another failed offensive. Ukraine, using military surplus and end-of-life materiel from the US and other NATO countries, has stopped Russia cold for over two years. Its drone campaign has hit Russian energy infrastructure hard, the latest being at Rostov-on-Don and Krasnodar Krai - and there have been effective strikes in as far away as Tatarstan. Voronezh, Moscow, and St Petersburg targets have been hit as well. Given the lack of effectiveness of Russia's campaign, it is obviously not "far more militarily capable than Ukraine", and this war is draining Russian finance, leading it into perilous "debt trap diplomacy" with China...
And the greatest national sovereignty threat to Russia comes not from NATO - with which the recent accession of Finland - it shares a border of thousands of kilometers - and most of these NATO states have access to nuclear weapons within short striking distance of Russian C3I structures - but with China. There is a natural gas pipeline going from Russia's Far East - which is where the oil and gas upon which Russia depends to keep its largely extractive economy going are - to China, and lately China, which imports about 85% of its fossil fuel energy, has been balking at the price Russia is charging. If Russia continues to decimate its military in Ukraine (now it's having to import artillery shells and guns, as well as missiles, from North Korea, as China has declined to give this kind of aid) it will be vulnerable to a Chinese invasion coming across the Amur River (just as it did in the 1970s) to take control of those resources - and China has already redrawn its maps to include those areas ceded to the Russian Empire in 1860 as its own, which presages such an invasion. Russia has severe manpower shortages, it is likely that another national mobilization will fail as badly as the first, which only got half as many troops as planned (if not worse), and the Russian plans to import 200,000 Kenyans would be a predictable disaster. Besides which, without the oil and gas money, Russia will be without assets to support an army. Right now, they've had to sharply increase their income tax take on incomes over 2250 USD per month - and if they go lower, to the working classes who get an average of 700 USD per month there will be resistance ("you pretend to pay us, and we will pretend to work.") Putin has more on his plate than he's letting on about. And Ukraine appears to be doing just fine, with or without the illusory security guarantees from the West - the guarantees made in the Budapest Memorandum have for the most part failed, which is a teaching moment for other countries to whom the US et al offer "security guarantees" in exchange for, say, nuclear non-proliferation. If Moscow continues to raise the taxes on the outlying republics while offering little or nothing in return, that won't last either - and having decimated the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine in what has turned out to be a pointless war (but with the sly encouragement by the Chinese, biding their time...) Russia won't have the ability to project the force which will be needed to avoid another Soviet Union-style collapse - and today's Russian Army isn't the Red Army of the Soviets, not by any means.
So that multipolar world may indeed come, but most probably won't involve any of the present list of major powers.
Gah, I hate all of this "the world will end if X happens instead of Y" manipulativr, fear- mongering rhetoric. I doubt that Dugin even believes it.
Why settle for the lesser of two evils?
What’s the alternative? Ineffectual Libertarians? I’m voting for Trump in November but this will be the last election I ever vote (R).
https://substack.com/@stevenberger/note/c-60268415?r=1nm0v2
The world will be fine, I can tell you that in the Australian bushlands, far from cities, there is nothing happening out here. Literally, nothing. There hardly any people and thank god for that.
Not exactly an encouraging thought - "hardly any people."
You do know how large Australia is and how few people live outside of the major cities right? It's 3.45 people per square km for the entire continent, in rural areas it's probably less than 1 person per square km.
Sorry you missed my point. I wasn't referring specifically to Australia's population.
So strange : I think that foreign affairs will determine the fate of the over extended American Empire in which Mr. Putin is in far more control.
Trump is not that different from Biden. Trump failed 2016-2020 for just that reason.
A truly aware political leader would have resorted to other means a long time ago but Trump is still playing Game Show Host and basking in the limelight as though no one will ever pull the plug.
The one difference is that Trump likes to win above all things and has an ego big as all outdoors and the heavenly planets despite being not all that heavenly himself.
He's more apt to see a "deal" realistically like Putin and Ji Xin Ping see it.
Not as apt: he's still wallowiing in Point du Hoc and 1944 than 2024.
But he's also more apt to plead "I had no choice" than Biden who doesn't want to think that hard.
Trump also has no staff like Lavrov, Peskov or Zakharova.
He's winging it again.
I agree, but I still think stakes are made arbitrarily high to create pressure to build… it will swing back to something else immediately after. He will not change enough and people will rely on it too much until it’s too late. The next trump term needs to be a time of rerooting to oppose what comes after, not building “freedom cities”.
Dugin ignores Trump being a slave of Israel. Maybe he's hoping Trumpy America and Israel will implode in a suicide pact and exit the world stage.
Apparently Dugin knows next to nothing about American politics. He's dealing in only superficialities here.
Likely a troll comment, but this is pretty hilarious, you are apparently not acquainted with Dugin’s works, talks, or philosophy. I’m not a Dugin apologist, but he does know more about US politics and bureaucracy than most Mericans.
Well if he does it's not captured in this essay.
The only part where Dugin leaves me cold is where he says neocons are long game Trotskyites. Is this a synonym for anti Russians or does he believe that the Russian diaspora parents and grandparents of the neocons are/were actual Trotskyites, as opposed Tzarists, monarchists, liberals etc?
Actually, a lot of the original neocons *were* Trotskyites - see https://chroniclesmagazine.org/web/neoconservatism-where-trotsky-meets-stalin-and-hitler/
Thanks!
Good summary. Unfortunately, liberals are Pavlov’s dogs, Trump is the bell.
Sur l'élection américaine lire sur le site " Le Grand Réveil " dernier message de Louis d'Alencourt avant sa mort "Le Projet 47 " .
“Ten years of Trump says the way to bet is that he picks the worst possible option as his running mate, which would be someone like Glenn Youngkin. He is a less masculine version of Liz Cheney.” - Z Man
😂