Alexander Dugin delves into the intricate dynamics of a rapidly evolving multipolar world as we step into 2024, highlighting the pivotal shifts and conflicts reshaping global geopolitics.
The main issue in 2024 remains the same fundamental problem as before: the confrontation between two waves — the waning wave of a unipolar world order with US hegemony and the collective West, and the rising wave of a multipolar world, embodied in BRICS-10.
This problem did not arise now, but as the West, having gained at one historical moment the appearance of sole planetary domination (after the collapse of the USSR), proved incapable of implementing its leadership in practice, new sovereign poles began to assert themselves — Russia and China. Other poles are on the approach — India, the Islamic civilisation, Africa, and Latin America. In total, seven power centres, including the West. Six of them have united in BRICS, beginning to build a multipolar order.
The West continues to cling to its hegemony and attacks the most dangerous opponents to its domination — Russia, China, and the Islamic world. This did not start today but at the very beginning of the 2000s. But the current contrast of the political world map was finally acquired in recent years — especially after the beginning of the Special Military Operation in Ukraine. The operation became the first hot war of the multipolar world against the unipolar one. Until then — especially during President Trump’s first term and due to the rise of populism in Europe — it seemed that a direct clash could be avoided, that the West would peacefully accept multipolarity, trying to fight for a worthy place in the post-globalist world order. This is what Trump meant by calling to drain the globalist swamp in the US itself. But so far, the swamp managed to drain Trump himself and, during the most swampy administration under President Biden, to unleash a bloody conflict in Ukraine, throwing all the forces of the collective West against Russia, the most important pole of the multipolar world.
The main result of 2023 was Russia’s disruption of the Ukrainian counteroffensive, which for the globalists was a decisive moment in the conflict. They supplied Ukraine with comprehensive assistance, including extensive weaponry, significant financial aid, and substantial political, informational, and diplomatic resources. However, when Russia successfully resisted these efforts and started preparing for its own offensive, it became apparent that the extensive support given to the Kiev regime was ultimately futile. However, as long as globalists are in power in the US, they intend to continue the war. And, apparently, not just to the last Ukrainian but to the last globalist.
At the end of 2023, however, a second front opened in the war between the unipolar and multipolar worlds. This time, the West’s vanguard in the Middle East, the State of Israel, in response to the invasion by Hamas, began a systematic genocide of the Gaza population, completely disregarding anything. The USA and the collective West fully supported Tel Aviv’s actions, thus drawing a new line of fracture — the West against the Islamic civilization.
American neoconservatives had already entered this cycle in the early 2000s, resulting in the invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq, and then supporting radical Islamists in Libya, Syria, and so on. Now, the West has again confronted the Islamic world, led by the Palestinians, Yemeni Houthis, Lebanese Hezbollah, and also Iran.
Furthermore, in West Africa, another platform for the anti-colonial struggle against unipolarity and for multipolarity, an alliance of the most resolute countries has emerged — Mali, Burkina Faso, the Central African Republic, Gabon, and Niger, where a series of anti-globalist coups took place. So here, too, a new front has emerged.
Ultimately, Venezuela, led by Nicolas Maduro — whom the USA attempted to replace with their puppet, Guaido, in a move that ended in complete failure — became embroiled in a territorial dispute over the contested Guyana-Essequibo region with British Guyana, which is perceived as a pro-Atlantic puppet state. And the President of Argentina, Javier Milei, although he refused to integrate into BRICS, called on England to reconsider the issue of the Malvinas (Falklands). Thus, another front of struggle is emerging in Latin America.
So we approached the new year, 2024. And here all the trends continued at an accelerated pace. Tension for the USA in the Middle East is growing by the day. The war in Ukraine will undoubtedly continue, and now the initiative is on Russia’s side.
Also, one should expect an exacerbation of the conflict around Taiwan, where the US has pushed through the anti-Chinese candidate Lai Qingde in the elections, further escalation in the Middle East, continuation of anti-colonial revolutions in Africa, and escalation into a hot phase of contradictions in Latin America.
In the West itself, the crisis is intensifying at an accelerated pace. In the USA, there are elections this year, in which the globalists will face a powerful wave of Republicans.
The European Union is in decline, and there again rises an anti-elite, anti-liberal wave of populists — from the left and the right. There are leftists, like Sahra Wagenknecht and her new party. ‘Red Sahra’ is becoming a symbol of anti-liberal left-wing Europe.
Such leftists are primarily enemies of global capital — unlike pseudo-leftists, bought outright by Soros, who primarily advocate LGBT, Ukrainian Nazism, the genocide in Gaza, and uncontrolled migration, and also desperately fight against Russian influence, Putin, and Russia as a whole.
There is also a right-wing component — significantly battered, but in many European countries it represents the second most important political force. For example, Marine Le Pen in France. In Germany, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) is gaining strength. In Italy, despite the liberal weakness of Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, the right half of society has not disappeared. The entire right-wing populism remains as it was.
But there is the globalist West, which tries to present itself as the entire ‘West’, and there are right and left anti-globalists, as well as a huge layer of Western commoners, who make up the ‘silent majority’. This is most important: the European commoner generally does not understand anything about politics. Ordinary Europeans and Americans simply cannot keep up with the demands to change gender, forcibly castrate their little sons, marry goats, bring in and feed even more migrants, eat cockroaches, read prayers to Greta Thunberg at night, and curse the Russians. The Western commoner, the petit bourgeois, is the main support of the multipolar world. He is the core of the real West, not the sinister parody into which it has been transformed by the globalist liberal elites.
It is very possible that in 2024, all these lines of fracture — wars and revolutions, conflicts and uprisings, waves of terrorist attacks, and new territories of genocide — will escalate into something massive. The declining wave of the unipolar world is already giving way to the rising multipolar one. And this is inevitable.
The dragon of globalism is mortally wounded. But it is known how dangerous the agony of a wounded dragon is. The global elite of the West is insane. There are many reasons to believe that in 2024 there will be something terrible. We are at arm’s length from a world war. On all fronts. If it cannot be avoided, then there is nothing left but to win it.
We must slay the dragon to free humanity from its villainous enchantments, and even the West itself, which is its first victim.
(translated and annotated by Constantin von Hoffmeister)
Interesting to read this piece by Alexander Dugin translated, and that Arktos is on Substack, a name I recognise from being the only publisher of any of Pentti Linkola's work in English — though I have to say in case you read these comments, your 2009 first edition cover to "Can Life Prevail?" is far superior to your new one that does not characterise Linkola's optimism or the book very well, looking like it is the cover to a post-apocalyptic fiction novel rather than a depiction of hope, that even in urban decay there is a flower that might bloom.
I have to nitpick Dugin's comment on West African states. The coup in Gabon is not an ideological one like the others have been. They are still Francophiles there with a fervor that's very difficult to understand. Chima Okezue did an excellent write-up on it. It is repeated uncritically it seems among almost all alternative media and commentators that it, too, was an anti-colonial coup, but the evidence is not in favour of this.
https://sharpfocusafrica.substack.com/p/gabon-nguema-consolidates-power
It's also very strange to hear Milei praised by Dugin as if he were some leader opening a front of anti-globalist, multipolar struggle in Latin America. You will not find another world leader outside the US who will rattle on about the threat of "socialist" Russians and Chinese, who thinks by replacing his country's currency with the failing US dollar, it will improve rather than take away their sovereignty. It's no wonder he has received such a warm welcome from US media and leadership. His policies are all ideological capitalism rooted in the CIA's Austrian school of economics.
He is a lunatic besides, who if Argentinian Spanish-language media is to be believed in accurately quoting him and those close to him, thinks God speaks to him (sorry, "the One", since there's apparently a difference), wakes up every morning and does medium sessions with his dogs—all clones of his dead dog that he believes he could speak to through a psychic, and that he met 2,000 years ago in a Roman coliseum—to hear each of their latest in political, economic, and general advice per their specialties, before he resumes his job as head of state. Of course, his dogs are named after his favourite economists except the one named after a fantasy character. Milei is not a serious leader worthy of praise, or against unipolarity, but someone who belongs in an insane asylum.
I love global analysis that treat USA as a coherent body when in fact USA is internally divided into thousands of misaligned and incompatible lives and goals.